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Is Declining Bullish Sentiment Actually a Bullish Sign?

Chart of the Week for October 18-24, 2002

Bullish sentiment recently reached its lowest point in eight years. October 1994 was the last time investors had such a low level of optimism about stocks— right before the market began its steady five-year climb to record levels in 2000.

* This illustration was created based on information obtained from Barron’s and Investors Intelligence, independent sources of investment information that are not affiliated with the ICMA-RC. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities. This information is intended for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended here and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that any income from securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded Blue-Chip Stocks. A fund’s portfolio may differ significantly from the securities held in the index. The index is not available for direct investment; therefore its performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the active management of an actual portfolio. Vantagepoint securities are distributed by ICMA-RC Services LLC, a broker dealer affiliate of ICMA-RC, member NASD/SIPC. ICMA-RC Services LLC, 777 North Capitol Street NE, Washington, DC 20002-4240. 1-800-669-7400.

 
October 18, 2002